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Though monsoon in July is most probably expected within “positive side” of the normal (94% to 106 % of long period average) in the country, forecast of ‘below normal’ rainfall in most parts of northwest India – Punjab, Haryana and West Uttar Pradesh – may be a matter of some concern in certain pockets even as farming operations in this region is mostly driven by its robust irrigation network.
The spatial distribution of rainfall in July suggests that ‘normal to above normal rainfall’ is most likely over most areas of central India and adjoining south peninsular and east India and some areas of northeast and northwest India – a situation which will help farmers in the ‘monsoon core’ zone carry on with their sowing operations with ease.
02:10
Delhi wakes up to rain; IMD predicts more showers in region
In contrast, ‘below normal’ rainfall is “most likely” over many areas of northwest, northeast and southeast peninsular India. The forecast will help farmers to select their crops keeping in view their dependence on irrigation networks and underground water.
Releasing monthly rainfall and temperature outlook for July, IMD director general Mrutyunjay Mohapatra highlighted “high probabilities” for the development of El Nino conditions over equatorial Pacific Ocean.
02:03
Heavy rainfall leads to waterlogging in Surat streets
There is, however, a possibility of positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions during the remaining period of the monsoon season, helping it during the later phase.
On temperatures during July, IMD predicted ‘normal to above normal’ maximum temperatures (day temperatures) over most parts of the country except some areas of northwest and peninsular India.
Monsoon fury sweeps Gujarat, leaves 12 dead
Relentless rain battered Gujarat, leaving at least 12 people dead in 24 hours ending Friday evening and bringing life to a virtual halt in Saurashtra and south Gujarat, where towns and villages turned into water bodies. The monsoon’s fury was particularly severe in Jamnagar City, which turned into a lake after being pummelled with 221mm of rainfall that left four people dead.The situation was also grim in Junagadh district with Visavadar taluka being lashed by 349 mm of rainfall on Friday. Life was completely paralysed as villages and farms turned into islands.Kutch district, which was worst hit by cyclone Biparjoy, reeled under a severe wet spell as Anjar taluka was pounded by 233mm of rainfall, followed by Gandhidham which received 113 mm.
02:43
Active monsoon conditions over northwest, central, west India: IMD
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